USA Today
WASHINGTON (AP) — Sales of new homes rose a higher-than-expected 3.4% in November, but they were down 15.3% from a year ago, a government report Wednesday showed.
Sales of new single-family homes hit a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.047 million units, reflecting solid sales increases in every region of the country except the South.
The increase offered hope that the steep slide in housing may be starting to bottom out as builders, using a wide array of incentives, begin to make a dent in the record level of unsold homes.
“The new-home sales report did beat the consensus forecast, and that, I think, provides further evidence to support the view that the worst of the housing downturn may have passed,” said Alex Beuzelin, senior market analyst for Ruesch International.
The 3.4% rebound in sales last month was the third increase in the past four months. It helped to lift the median price for a new home to $251,700, an increase of 3.2% from a year ago. The median price is the point where half the homes sold for more and half for less.
The housing industry has undergone a severe slowdown this year following a prolonged boom that had been fueled by the lowest mortgage rates in more than four decades.
This year’s slump followed five years in which sales of both new and existing homes had set records.
What some are calling a recession in housing has been a big factor in the economy’s overall slowdown, cutting 1.2 percentage points from growth in the July-September quarter, a period when the economy expanded at a lackluster pace of just 2%.
Many analysts believe housing is continuing to act as a drag on growth in the current quarter and will continue to depress activity through the early part of 2007.
The number of unsold homes by 1.4% in November to 545,000. It was the fourth straight decline in inventories after they had hit an all-time high of 573,000 units in July. Builders have been cutting prices and offering various incentives such as helping to cover closing costs in an effort to move finished homes and reduce high cancellation rates.
It would take 6.3 months to exhaust the current supply of homes at the November sales pace, down from 6.7 months in October and 7.2 months in July.
Sales last month increased in all parts of the country except the South, where they fell 9.3%. Sales were up 22.5% in the Northeast, a rebound from a huge 35.5% drop in October. Sales rose 22.4% in the Midwest and 19% in the West.
The new-home sales report is subject to strong revisions.